泛亚电竞

胡迪1  蒋乐2

泛亚电竞 （1zhongguominyonghangkongzhongnandiqukongzhongjiaotongguanlijuhubeifenju，wuhan 430302；2meiguoi.m.xitongjituangongsi，meiguo）

zaiguoqu20nian，zhongguominhangzaihangkongqixiangfanyadianjinglingyuxingchenglefeichangduteqiejiaoweichengshudeyewujiegouyuguanlitixi，qitedianshihangkongqixiangfanyadianjingjigouzaiminhangkongguanbumendezhidaoxia，anzhaoguojiminhangzuzhideguifanheyaoqiu，jinmifanyadianjingyukongzhongjiaotongguanzhideyewuyunxing。tongguoduonianlaidefazhan，zhongguominhangdehangkongqixiangfanyadianjingshuipingqudelejiaodadejinbu。muqiandaduoshujichangyijingpeibeilezidongguancexitongheduopuletianqileida；yiminhangqixiangzhongxinweizhudaogoujiandehangkongqixiangxinxifanyadianjingwang，zaijiaodachengdushangmanzuleminhangqixiangyewuxitongneibuhedabufenhangkongqixiangyonghuduihangkongqixiangxinxidejibenxuqiu；minhangqixiangzhongxinheyixiediqujiqixiangzhongxinyeyijingkaifalebijiaochengshudequyuzhongchidushuzhimoshibingtouruyewuyunxing。youqicong2014nian6yuekaishi，hangkongqixiangxinxizuoweijueceyijubeinarudamianjihangbanyanwuyingjixiangyingjizhiyunxingchengxu，biaozhizhehangkongqixiangfanyadianjingzaiminhangyunxingtixilidezuoyongzhengriyituxian。

泛亚电竞 suizhejinnianlaizhongguominhangshiyedexunmengfazhan，hangkongyonghu（baokuoguanzhiyuan、jizurenyuan、hangkongqianpaiyuanhejichangdiqinrenyuandeng）duiqixiangfanyadianjingdexuqiuyeyuelaiyuegao，minhangqixiangjigoudefanyadianjingnengliyuhangkongyonghuxuqiuzhijiandechajuyerijianmingxian。ruheduihangkongqixiangfanyadianjingnenglideweilaifanyadianjingjinxingkexuedeguihua，congerjinkuaitigaohangkongqixiangfanyadianjingshuipingyimanzuhangkongyonghudexuqiuyichengweizhongguominhangsuomianlindeyigezhongdaketi。benwenzhenduixianjieduanzhongguominhangqixiangfanyadianjingnenglidexianzhuangjiwentijinxinglefenxi，bingchangshixingditichulezaiweilaiduanqi（3nian）、zhongqi（5nian）hezhangqi（10nian）fazhanminhangqixiangfanyadianjingnenglideguihua，yigongminhangyouguanjuecebumencankao。

yi、xianzhuangjiwentifenxi

泛亚电竞 20shiji80niandaiyilai，shijietianqiyubaojishuqudelekuaisudefazhan，shuzhiyubaojishuzaiqizhongfahuileshifenzhongyaodezuoyong。muqian，oumeiyixiefadaguojiayijingyituoshuzhiyubaojishuzaihangkongqixianglingyujianlilejiaoweichengshudehangkongqixiangyubaoyewutixi。yimeiguoweili，faadegejiguanzhibumenjunjianlilexiangyingdeqixiangjuecefuzhugongju，ruquanguoliuliangguanlizhongxindeccfp（collaborative convective forecast product, duiliuxietongyubaochanpin）、hangluguanzhizhongxindeciws （corridor integrated weather system，kongzhongzoulangzonghetianqixitong）、zhongduanguanzhizhongxindetda（tactical decision aid, zhanshuxingjuecezhichixitong）hetataideitws（integrated terminal weather system，jichengzhongduantianqixitong）deng，shangshuqixiangjuecefuzhugongjujunyishuzhiyubaochanpinweijichu，zaikongguanyunxingfangmianfahuileshifenzhongyaodezuoyong。

（yi）zhongguominhangqixiangfanyadianjingshuiping

泛亚电竞 tongoumeifadaguojiaxiangbi，zhongguominhangqixiangdefanyadianjingshuipingxiangduibijiaozhihou，jutibiaoxianzaiyixiajigefangmian:

泛亚电竞 1．guojiacengmian

quefaquanguotongyidebiaozhunhanglutianqishuzhiyubaoxitongyulinjinyubaoxitong。shuzhiyubaoxitongyingnengtigongkuaisugengxinde（ru1～2xiaoshigengxinyici）shixiaowei12dao24xiaoshidefugaiquanguofanweidetuxinghuayubaochanpin；linjinyubaoxitongyingnengshishijichengdaliangguanceshujubingtigongkuaisugengxinde（ru15fenzhongdao1xiaoshigengxinyici）shixiaoweiru0dao8xiaoshidaotuxinghuayubaochanpin。

2. quyuzhongxincengmian（ruqidaguanqu）

yequefaleisidekuaisugengxinbinggengjiajingxidehanglutianqiyubaoxitong。zheiweizaifuzatianqiqingkuangxiafeixingqiandehangbanjihuayufeixingzhongdequyuhangludiaozhengdailailehendadenandu。

3．jichangzhongduanqucengmian

quefajichangjinjinguanzhiquneidegaofenbianlvdelinjinyubaoxitong。ru0～3xiaoshishixiaodekuaisugengxin（ru1fenzhongdao10fenzhonggengxinyici）dedazhongduanqulinjinyubaoxitong。

泛亚电竞 （er）zhongguominhangqixiangyewunengli

hangkongqixiangfanyadianjingshuipingdetigaoyilaiyuhangkongqixiangyewunenglidefazhan。muqianminhangzaihangkongqixiangyewunenglidefazhanfangmiancunzaiyixiajigewenti:

1．minhangqixiangdeshuzhiyubaoyewushuipinghezizhuchuangxinnenglibuzu

泛亚电竞 youqishizaishuzhimoshideziliaotonghuajishufangmianchajumingxian。muqian，qixiangweixing、shangyongfeiji、tianqileida、zidongqixiangzhandengduozhongguanceziliaoshangweitonghuajinruzhongguominhangshuzhiyubaoyewuxitong，zheishizhiyueminhangqixiangyewunenglizhengtifazhandezhongyaoyinsu。

泛亚电竞 2．minhangqixiangshuzhiyubaochanpinjieshiyingyongdeshuipingbugao

bunengchongfenliyongshuzhiyubaochanpintigongdedaliangxinxi。bushaojichangdeqixiangtai（zhan）shenzhimeiyoukaizhanzhenzhengdeshuzhiyubaochanpinjieshiyingyong，erjinjintingliuzaidingxingshiyongshuzhiyubaochanpinshang；lingwaizaishuzhiyubaochanpindejieshiyingyongfangmianquefachizhiyiheng、buduanshenru、genzongwanshandejizhiheduibishiyan，duishuzhiyubaochanpinjianyanyijijieshiyingyongjiaoduotingliuzaidingxingpanduanshang。zheixiewentizhijieyingxiangdaominhangqixiangyewulingyudetuozhan、zhilianghejingxihuachengdudetigao，jinerzhiyueleminhangqixiangyewudefazhan。

3．shuzhiyubaoyewushangweizoushangjiyuehuafazhandedaolu

泛亚电竞 minhangqixiangyewutixizhongdezhongfulaodonghaibijiaopubian，xianjieduanzuituchudexianxiangjiushiminhangqixiangzhongxindeshuzhiyubaoyewuzhidaochanpinbunengmanzugequyuqixiangzhongxinhejichangqixiangtai（zhan）defanyadianjingxuqiu。yixiejichangzhongduanquqixiangtai（zhan）zhinengdedaodaquyudeyubaochanpin，zheizhongfenbianlvjiaodideyubaochanpinjiaodachengdushangyingxiangleqixiangfanyadianjingzhiliang，tebieshizaihaixing、guanjianxing、zhuanzhexingtianqiyubaodeshuipingshangbunengmanzuhangkongyonghudexuqiu。weiletigaoyubaoshuiping，yixiediqujiqixiangzhongxinyiwrfhuomm5weineihezizhukaifalebenquyuzhongchidushuzhimoshibingtouruyewuyunxing，danzaiguanlitizhishangxiandegeziweizhen，quefahelidetongchouanpaihejiyuehuafanyadianjingsixiang，zhongfuxinglaodongjiaoduo。

er、mubiaoyurenwu

（yi）zhongguominhangqixiangfanyadianjingnenglifanyadianjingmubiao

suizhexianjieduanzhongguogejichanghangbanliangdebuduanzengzhang，hangkongqixiangfanyadianjingnengliyuhangkongyonghuduiqixiangxinxixuqiuzhijiandemaodunyiriyituxian。zhongguominhangdeqixiangfanyadianjingnenglifanyadianjingyingyiweixunsuzengzhangdeminhangkongzhongjiaotongliuliangtigongjingxihuahangkongtianqiyubaoweimubiao, youqishiweizhiliyujiejueyutianqixiangguandedamianjihangbanyanwudexietongjuecexitongtigongjishi，zhunque，yukuaisugengxindetianqiyubaochanpin。

泛亚电竞 （er）zhongguominhangqixiangfanyadianjingnenglifanyadianjingrenwu

weidachengzheiyimubiao，hangkongqixiangbumenbujinjinzaiyewuyunxingshangxuyaoshiheyugezhongshijianyukongjianchidudetianqishikuangguancexitongbaokuodiqiutongbujingzhiweixing，jiguiweixing，leida，shandiandingweiyi，zidongqixiangzhan，jichangzidongguancexitong，paodaoguancexitongdengyingjiansheshi，haixuyaozairuanjiansheshifangmianjinkuaiwanchengyixiayixiefanyadianjingrenwu。

1．jingxihuashuzhiyubao、jiheyubao、linjinheduanshiyubao、yanshenqiyubaoheshuzhiyubaochanpindejieshiheyingyongdengnenglidefanyadianjing

youqiyingzhezhongtigaoshuzhiyubaochanpindejieshiheyingyongnengli，kaifahejianliduogongneng、duomeiti、keshihuadezongherenjijiaohudeyubaogongzuopingtai。gaipingtaichulejuyoujiaoqiangdeerweituxinghesanweituxiangbianjigongnengwai，haiyaoweiyubaoyuantigongzhizuogeleiquyuyubao、jichangyubao、jichangjingbaoderenjijiaohujiemian，yubaoyuannenggouanzhaoyubaozhizuoliuchengdeyaoqiu，zaizonghefenxigeleiqixiangxinxiheyouguanzhuanyexinxidejichushang，shifenfangbianditongguoduikeguanyaosuyubaodezhubudingzheng，wanchenggezhongshiduan，gequyuhuojichangdegeleiyaosuyubaozhizuo，bingnengzidongdishengchenggeleiwenzi、tubiao、tuxing、tuxiangdengfanyadianjingchanpin。

泛亚电竞 2．yijichengdaliangguanceshujubingfugaiquanguofanweihangludeyubaoxitongdefanyadianjing

泛亚电竞 rufugaiquanguokongyufanweineide0dao24xiaoshide～10gonglifenbianlvkuaisu（rumeixiaoshi）gengxindeshuzhiyubao，jifugaiquyukongguanquneide～5gonglifenbianlvkuaisugengxinshuzhiyubao。

3．yijichengguancexitongshujudeshiyujichangfujinshiyongdezhongduanqulinjinyubaoxitongdefanyadianjing

泛亚电竞 rutigong0dao3xiaoshijichangzhouwei200gonglineigaofenbianlvdekuaisugengxinyubao。

4．jichangfujinteshutianqidezidongyujingxitongdefanyadianjing

泛亚电竞 jiaqiangruyudaodikongfengqiebian，pingliuwu，xiaochiduleibao，paodaojibingdengteshutianqidezidongyujingxitongfanyadianjing，keyizuoweizhongduanqulinjinyubaoxitongdeyibufen。

泛亚电竞 zheixieyubaoyujingdejieguohaiyaonenggouyijiandanyidongdetuxingxingshidiejiadaoquyujiaotongliuliangguanlixitonghuojinjinguanzhiruanjiandexianshipingtaishang，yishishidizhichikongguanyuhangkonggongsidexietongjuece。

泛亚电竞 san、qixiangfanyadianjingnenglifanyadianjingguihuasheji

zhongguominhangqixiangyewudezongtifazhanshuipingyijingchaoguoledaduoshufazhanzhongguojia，danyumei、ri、ouxiangbi，rengranhaiyoumingxiandechaju。jianyiminhangqixiangxitongzaineibujinxingfengonghezuoheziyuanzhenghe，tongshiyuzhongguoqixiangjujianliwengudezhangqihezuojizhi，cong2015niankaishixitongxingdikaizhanqixiangfanyadianjingnenglidefanyadianjing。zhenduijinqi（3nian），zhongqi（5nian）jizhangqi（10nian）defanyadianjingguihua，chubugouxiangruxia。

biao1 qixiangfanyadianjingnenglifanyadianjingguihuasheji

四、工作建议

泛亚电竞 1．fanyadianjingjichenghangkongtianqiyubaoxitong

泛亚电竞 jiehezhongguodediyutedian，yiquyukongguanzhongxinweidanwei，zhubujianliquanguojichengdehangkongtianqiyubaoxitongyinggaishiweilaiyigezhiguanzhongyaodefanyadianjingxiangmu。gaixitongyifangmianyaobaohanzhongguoguangdadiyudedilitezheng，lingyifangmianyaonenggouzaibutongdeguanzhiquyuzhijianjinxingshishideshujujiaohuan。suoyizaigoujianxitongdeshihou，yaozunzhaoguojiliuxingderuanjianjishubiaozhun。jichenghangkongtianqiyubaoxitongdehexinbufenyingbaokuo: （1）quyuhanglutianqifanyadianjinggongneng；（2）hangzhantianqifanyadianjinggongneng；yiji（3）zhichikongguanyuhangkonggongsiyewuyunyingdexietongjuecefanyadianjinggongneng。qizhongqianliangzhefanyadianjingzhiliangdehaohuaijiangzhijieyingxiangdaoqixiangxinxijinruxietongjuecexitongdeshijixiaoguo。

泛亚电竞 2．chongfenfahuiyubaoyuanzuoyong

weilai，yubaoyuandezuoyongjiangzhuyaotixianzaiduishuzhitianqiyubaomoshichanpinheqitakeguanyubaochanpinxingnengdelejieyijiduigezhongziliaohefangfadezonghefenxiyingyonghedingzhengnenglishang。zaiyaosuyubaofangmian，suizhejingxiyubaodekaizhan，tianqiyubaochanpin（baokuozhidaochanpin）daliangzengjia，yubaoyuandezhuyaogongzuojiangshiduikeguanyubaochanpinjinxingdingzheng，xiugaigezhongwuliliangchang（lirujiangshuiliangyubaochang）deyubao，ranhouyouruanjianneichadaozhandian（gedian）shang。yubaoyuanyinggaizaidalianggaozhilianghezhiguandeyubaofuzhugongjudezhichixiaxingchengjingxihuadeyubaosilu。yubaoyuandegongzuozhongdianbixufangzaiduifeixinganquanyoujiaodaweixiedeweixiantianqideyubaoyujingshang，yubaoyuanjingyanzaiduifuzatianqideyubaohezonghejuecezhongrengjiangqizhongyaozuoyong。weilaiyubaoyuanyingzhububaituoxiangdangdaliangdeshougongzhizuotianqitudegongzuohequefadinglianghuadeyubaosilu。biaozhundetianqitukeyouquyuzhongxinjinxinghuizhihoutongyitigongjiguanquneidegegeyubaodanwei。 yibufenyuanxiancongshiyixianyubaogongzuoderenyuankezhubuzhuanruhoutaiyewuzhichinenglidekaifayuyewuhua。

zongzhi，weileyouxiaojianshaoyintianqiyuanyinzaochengdedamianjihangbanyanwu，buduanmanzuchixuzengzhangdezhongguominhanghangbanliangdefanyadianjingxuqiu，minhangqixiangxitongdeyewufanyadianjingyingkaizhanfengonghezuoheziyuanzhenghe，zaiguojiacengmian、quyuzhongxincengmianhezhongduanqujichangcengmianfenbieshezhibutongdefanyadianjingzhongdian，bingqiexitongdi、youguihuadijinxingxiangguandefanyadianjingxiangmu。zaiduanqinei（ru3nian）kaifachushiyongyuzhongguominhangtediandeqixiangfanyadianjingxitong，zhongqinei（ru5nian）touruyewuhuayunxingbingdiaoyou，zhangqinei（ru10nian）jianghangkongqixiangfanyadianjingnenglitishengdaozidonghuachengdujiaogao、yonghujiaoweimanyideshuiping，congergenghaodizhichikongguanyuhangkonggongsideyewuyunying。