泛亚电竞

胡迪1  蒋乐2

（1ZHONGGUOMINYONGHANGKONGZHONGNANDIQUKONGZHONGJIAOTONGGUANLIJUHUBEIFENJU，WUHAN 430302；2MEIGUOI.M.XITONGJITUANGONGSI，MEIGUO）

ZAIGUOQU20NIAN，ZHONGGUOMINHANGZAIHANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGLINGYUXINGCHENGLEFEICHANGDUTEQIEJIAOWEICHENGSHUDEYEWUJIEGOUYUGUANLITIXI，QITEDIANSHIHANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGJIGOUZAIMINHANGKONGGUANBUMENDEZHIDAOXIA，ANZHAOGUOJIMINHANGZUZHIDEGUIFANHEYAOQIU，JINMIFANYADIANJINGYUKONGZHONGJIAOTONGGUANZHIDEYEWUYUNXING。TONGGUODUONIANLAIDEFAZHAN，ZHONGGUOMINHANGDEHANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGSHUIPINGQUDELEJIAODADEJINBU。MUQIANDADUOSHUJICHANGYIJINGPEIBEILEZIDONGGUANCEXITONGHEDUOPULETIANQILEIDA；YIMINHANGQIXIANGZHONGXINWEIZHUDAOGOUJIANDEHANGKONGQIXIANGXINXIFANYADIANJINGWANG，ZAIJIAODACHENGDUSHANGMANZULEMINHANGQIXIANGYEWUXITONGNEIBUHEDABUFENHANGKONGQIXIANGYONGHUDUIHANGKONGQIXIANGXINXIDEJIBENXUQIU；MINHANGQIXIANGZHONGXINHEYIXIEDIQUJIQIXIANGZHONGXINYEYIJINGKAIFALEBIJIAOCHENGSHUDEQUYUZHONGCHIDUSHUZHIMOSHIBINGTOURUYEWUYUNXING。YOUQICONG2014NIAN6YUEKAISHI，HANGKONGQIXIANGXINXIZUOWEIJUECEYIJUBEINARUDAMIANJIHANGBANYANWUYINGJIXIANGYINGJIZHIYUNXINGCHENGXU，BIAOZHIZHEHANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGZAIMINHANGYUNXINGTIXILIDEZUOYONGZHENGRIYITUXIAN。

泛亚电竞 SUIZHEJINNIANLAIZHONGGUOMINHANGSHIYEDEXUNMENGFAZHAN，HANGKONGYONGHU（BAOKUOGUANZHIYUAN、JIZURENYUAN、HANGKONGQIANPAIYUANHEJICHANGDIQINRENYUANDENG）DUIQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGDEXUQIUYEYUELAIYUEGAO，MINHANGQIXIANGJIGOUDEFANYADIANJINGNENGLIYUHANGKONGYONGHUXUQIUZHIJIANDECHAJUYERIJIANMINGXIAN。RUHEDUIHANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIDEWEILAIFANYADIANJINGJINXINGKEXUEDEGUIHUA，CONGERJINKUAITIGAOHANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGSHUIPINGYIMANZUHANGKONGYONGHUDEXUQIUYICHENGWEIZHONGGUOMINHANGSUOMIANLINDEYIGEZHONGDAKETI。BENWENZHENDUIXIANJIEDUANZHONGGUOMINHANGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIDEXIANZHUANGJIWENTIJINXINGLEFENXI，BINGCHANGSHIXINGDITICHULEZAIWEILAIDUANQI（3NIAN）、ZHONGQI（5NIAN）HEZHANGQI（10NIAN）FAZHANMINHANGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIDEGUIHUA，YIGONGMINHANGYOUGUANJUECEBUMENCANKAO。

泛亚电竞 YI、XIANZHUANGJIWENTIFENXI

20SHIJI80NIANDAIYILAI，SHIJIETIANQIYUBAOJISHUQUDELEKUAISUDEFAZHAN，SHUZHIYUBAOJISHUZAIQIZHONGFAHUILESHIFENZHONGYAODEZUOYONG。MUQIAN，OUMEIYIXIEFADAGUOJIAYIJINGYITUOSHUZHIYUBAOJISHUZAIHANGKONGQIXIANGLINGYUJIANLILEJIAOWEICHENGSHUDEHANGKONGQIXIANGYUBAOYEWUTIXI。YIMEIGUOWEILI，FAADEGEJIGUANZHIBUMENJUNJIANLILEXIANGYINGDEQIXIANGJUECEFUZHUGONGJU，RUQUANGUOLIULIANGGUANLIZHONGXINDECCFP（Collaborative Convective Forecast Product, DUILIUXIETONGYUBAOCHANPIN）、HANGLUGUANZHIZHONGXINDECIWS （Corridor Integrated Weather System，KONGZHONGZOULANGZONGHETIANQIXITONG）、ZHONGDUANGUANZHIZHONGXINDETDA（Tactical Decision Aid, ZHANSHUXINGJUECEZHICHIXITONG）HETATAIDEITWS（Integrated Terminal Weather System，JICHENGZHONGDUANTIANQIXITONG）DENG，SHANGSHUQIXIANGJUECEFUZHUGONGJUJUNYISHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINWEIJICHU，ZAIKONGGUANYUNXINGFANGMIANFAHUILESHIFENZHONGYAODEZUOYONG。

泛亚电竞 （YI）ZHONGGUOMINHANGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGSHUIPING

TONGOUMEIFADAGUOJIAXIANGBI，ZHONGGUOMINHANGQIXIANGDEFANYADIANJINGSHUIPINGXIANGDUIBIJIAOZHIHOU，JUTIBIAOXIANZAIYIXIAJIGEFANGMIAN:

1．GUOJIACENGMIAN

QUEFAQUANGUOTONGYIDEBIAOZHUNHANGLUTIANQISHUZHIYUBAOXITONGYULINJINYUBAOXITONG。SHUZHIYUBAOXITONGYINGNENGTIGONGKUAISUGENGXINDE（RU1～2XIAOSHIGENGXINYICI）SHIXIAOWEI12DAO24XIAOSHIDEFUGAIQUANGUOFANWEIDETUXINGHUAYUBAOCHANPIN；LINJINYUBAOXITONGYINGNENGSHISHIJICHENGDALIANGGUANCESHUJUBINGTIGONGKUAISUGENGXINDE（RU15FENZHONGDAO1XIAOSHIGENGXINYICI）SHIXIAOWEIRU0DAO8XIAOSHIDAOTUXINGHUAYUBAOCHANPIN。

2. QUYUZHONGXINCENGMIAN（RUQIDAGUANQU）

泛亚电竞 YEQUEFALEISIDEKUAISUGENGXINBINGGENGJIAJINGXIDEHANGLUTIANQIYUBAOXITONG。ZHEIWEIZAIFUZATIANQIQINGKUANGXIAFEIXINGQIANDEHANGBANJIHUAYUFEIXINGZHONGDEQUYUHANGLUDIAOZHENGDAILAILEHENDADENANDU。

泛亚电竞 3．JICHANGZHONGDUANQUCENGMIAN

QUEFAJICHANGJINJINGUANZHIQUNEIDEGAOFENBIANLVDELINJINYUBAOXITONG。RU0～3XIAOSHISHIXIAODEKUAISUGENGXIN（RU1FENZHONGDAO10FENZHONGGENGXINYICI）DEDAZHONGDUANQULINJINYUBAOXITONG。

（ER）ZHONGGUOMINHANGQIXIANGYEWUNENGLI

HANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGSHUIPINGDETIGAOYILAIYUHANGKONGQIXIANGYEWUNENGLIDEFAZHAN。MUQIANMINHANGZAIHANGKONGQIXIANGYEWUNENGLIDEFAZHANFANGMIANCUNZAIYIXIAJIGEWENTI:

1．MINHANGQIXIANGDESHUZHIYUBAOYEWUSHUIPINGHEZIZHUCHUANGXINNENGLIBUZU

YOUQISHIZAISHUZHIMOSHIDEZILIAOTONGHUAJISHUFANGMIANCHAJUMINGXIAN。MUQIAN，QIXIANGWEIXING、SHANGYONGFEIJI、TIANQILEIDA、ZIDONGQIXIANGZHANDENGDUOZHONGGUANCEZILIAOSHANGWEITONGHUAJINRUZHONGGUOMINHANGSHUZHIYUBAOYEWUXITONG，ZHEISHIZHIYUEMINHANGQIXIANGYEWUNENGLIZHENGTIFAZHANDEZHONGYAOYINSU。

泛亚电竞 2．MINHANGQIXIANGSHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINJIESHIYINGYONGDESHUIPINGBUGAO

泛亚电竞 BUNENGCHONGFENLIYONGSHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINTIGONGDEDALIANGXINXI。BUSHAOJICHANGDEQIXIANGTAI（ZHAN）SHENZHIMEIYOUKAIZHANZHENZHENGDESHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINJIESHIYINGYONG，ERJINJINTINGLIUZAIDINGXINGSHIYONGSHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINSHANG；LINGWAIZAISHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINDEJIESHIYINGYONGFANGMIANQUEFACHIZHIYIHENG、BUDUANSHENRU、GENZONGWANSHANDEJIZHIHEDUIBISHIYAN，DUISHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINJIANYANYIJIJIESHIYINGYONGJIAODUOTINGLIUZAIDINGXINGPANDUANSHANG。ZHEIXIEWENTIZHIJIEYINGXIANGDAOMINHANGQIXIANGYEWULINGYUDETUOZHAN、ZHILIANGHEJINGXIHUACHENGDUDETIGAO，JINERZHIYUELEMINHANGQIXIANGYEWUDEFAZHAN。

3．SHUZHIYUBAOYEWUSHANGWEIZOUSHANGJIYUEHUAFAZHANDEDAOLU

MINHANGQIXIANGYEWUTIXIZHONGDEZHONGFULAODONGHAIBIJIAOPUBIAN，XIANJIEDUANZUITUCHUDEXIANXIANGJIUSHIMINHANGQIXIANGZHONGXINDESHUZHIYUBAOYEWUZHIDAOCHANPINBUNENGMANZUGEQUYUQIXIANGZHONGXINHEJICHANGQIXIANGTAI（ZHAN）DEFANYADIANJINGXUQIU。YIXIEJICHANGZHONGDUANQUQIXIANGTAI（ZHAN）ZHINENGDEDAODAQUYUDEYUBAOCHANPIN，ZHEIZHONGFENBIANLVJIAODIDEYUBAOCHANPINJIAODACHENGDUSHANGYINGXIANGLEQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGZHILIANG，TEBIESHIZAIHAIXING、GUANJIANXING、ZHUANZHEXINGTIANQIYUBAODESHUIPINGSHANGBUNENGMANZUHANGKONGYONGHUDEXUQIU。WEILETIGAOYUBAOSHUIPING，YIXIEDIQUJIQIXIANGZHONGXINYIWRFHUOMM5WEINEIHEZIZHUKAIFALEBENQUYUZHONGCHIDUSHUZHIMOSHIBINGTOURUYEWUYUNXING，DANZAIGUANLITIZHISHANGXIANDEGEZIWEIZHEN，QUEFAHELIDETONGCHOUANPAIHEJIYUEHUAFANYADIANJINGSIXIANG，ZHONGFUXINGLAODONGJIAODUO。

泛亚电竞 ER、MUBIAOYURENWU

泛亚电竞 （YI）ZHONGGUOMINHANGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIFANYADIANJINGMUBIAO

SUIZHEXIANJIEDUANZHONGGUOGEJICHANGHANGBANLIANGDEBUDUANZENGZHANG，HANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIYUHANGKONGYONGHUDUIQIXIANGXINXIXUQIUZHIJIANDEMAODUNYIRIYITUXIAN。ZHONGGUOMINHANGDEQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIFANYADIANJINGYINGYIWEIXUNSUZENGZHANGDEMINHANGKONGZHONGJIAOTONGLIULIANGTIGONGJINGXIHUAHANGKONGTIANQIYUBAOWEIMUBIAO, YOUQISHIWEIZHILIYUJIEJUEYUTIANQIXIANGGUANDEDAMIANJIHANGBANYANWUDEXIETONGJUECEXITONGTIGONGJISHI，ZHUNQUE，YUKUAISUGENGXINDETIANQIYUBAOCHANPIN。

（ER）ZHONGGUOMINHANGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIFANYADIANJINGRENWU

WEIDACHENGZHEIYIMUBIAO，HANGKONGQIXIANGBUMENBUJINJINZAIYEWUYUNXINGSHANGXUYAOSHIHEYUGEZHONGSHIJIANYUKONGJIANCHIDUDETIANQISHIKUANGGUANCEXITONGBAOKUODIQIUTONGBUJINGZHIWEIXING，JIGUIWEIXING，LEIDA，SHANDIANDINGWEIYI，ZIDONGQIXIANGZHAN，JICHANGZIDONGGUANCEXITONG，PAODAOGUANCEXITONGDENGYINGJIANSHESHI，HAIXUYAOZAIRUANJIANSHESHIFANGMIANJINKUAIWANCHENGYIXIAYIXIEFANYADIANJINGRENWU。

泛亚电竞 1．JINGXIHUASHUZHIYUBAO、JIHEYUBAO、LINJINHEDUANSHIYUBAO、YANSHENQIYUBAOHESHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINDEJIESHIHEYINGYONGDENGNENGLIDEFANYADIANJING

泛亚电竞 YOUQIYINGZHEZHONGTIGAOSHUZHIYUBAOCHANPINDEJIESHIHEYINGYONGNENGLI，KAIFAHEJIANLIDUOGONGNENG、DUOMEITI、KESHIHUADEZONGHERENJIJIAOHUDEYUBAOGONGZUOPINGTAI。GAIPINGTAICHULEJUYOUJIAOQIANGDEERWEITUXINGHESANWEITUXIANGBIANJIGONGNENGWAI，HAIYAOWEIYUBAOYUANTIGONGZHIZUOGELEIQUYUYUBAO、JICHANGYUBAO、JICHANGJINGBAODERENJIJIAOHUJIEMIAN，YUBAOYUANNENGGOUANZHAOYUBAOZHIZUOLIUCHENGDEYAOQIU，ZAIZONGHEFENXIGELEIQIXIANGXINXIHEYOUGUANZHUANYEXINXIDEJICHUSHANG，SHIFENFANGBIANDITONGGUODUIKEGUANYAOSUYUBAODEZHUBUDINGZHENG，WANCHENGGEZHONGSHIDUAN，GEQUYUHUOJICHANGDEGELEIYAOSUYUBAOZHIZUO，BINGNENGZIDONGDISHENGCHENGGELEIWENZI、TUBIAO、TUXING、TUXIANGDENGFANYADIANJINGCHANPIN。

泛亚电竞 2．YIJICHENGDALIANGGUANCESHUJUBINGFUGAIQUANGUOFANWEIHANGLUDEYUBAOXITONGDEFANYADIANJING

RUFUGAIQUANGUOKONGYUFANWEINEIDE0DAO24XIAOSHIDE～10GONGLIFENBIANLVKUAISU（RUMEIXIAOSHI）GENGXINDESHUZHIYUBAO，JIFUGAIQUYUKONGGUANQUNEIDE～5GONGLIFENBIANLVKUAISUGENGXINSHUZHIYUBAO。

3．YIJICHENGGUANCEXITONGSHUJUDESHIYUJICHANGFUJINSHIYONGDEZHONGDUANQULINJINYUBAOXITONGDEFANYADIANJING

RUTIGONG0DAO3XIAOSHIJICHANGZHOUWEI200GONGLINEIGAOFENBIANLVDEKUAISUGENGXINYUBAO。

泛亚电竞 4．JICHANGFUJINTESHUTIANQIDEZIDONGYUJINGXITONGDEFANYADIANJING

JIAQIANGRUYUDAODIKONGFENGQIEBIAN，PINGLIUWU，XIAOCHIDULEIBAO，PAODAOJIBINGDENGTESHUTIANQIDEZIDONGYUJINGXITONGFANYADIANJING，KEYIZUOWEIZHONGDUANQULINJINYUBAOXITONGDEYIBUFEN。

ZHEIXIEYUBAOYUJINGDEJIEGUOHAIYAONENGGOUYIJIANDANYIDONGDETUXINGXINGSHIDIEJIADAOQUYUJIAOTONGLIULIANGGUANLIXITONGHUOJINJINGUANZHIRUANJIANDEXIANSHIPINGTAISHANG，YISHISHIDIZHICHIKONGGUANYUHANGKONGGONGSIDEXIETONGJUECE。

泛亚电竞 SAN、QIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIFANYADIANJINGGUIHUASHEJI

ZHONGGUOMINHANGQIXIANGYEWUDEZONGTIFAZHANSHUIPINGYIJINGCHAOGUOLEDADUOSHUFAZHANZHONGGUOJIA，DANYUMEI、RI、OUXIANGBI，RENGRANHAIYOUMINGXIANDECHAJU。JIANYIMINHANGQIXIANGXITONGZAINEIBUJINXINGFENGONGHEZUOHEZIYUANZHENGHE，TONGSHIYUZHONGGUOQIXIANGJUJIANLIWENGUDEZHANGQIHEZUOJIZHI，CONG2015NIANKAISHIXITONGXINGDIKAIZHANQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIDEFANYADIANJING。ZHENDUIJINQI（3NIAN），ZHONGQI（5NIAN）JIZHANGQI（10NIAN）DEFANYADIANJINGGUIHUA，CHUBUGOUXIANGRUXIA。

BIAO1 QIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLIFANYADIANJINGGUIHUASHEJI

四、工作建议

泛亚电竞 1．FANYADIANJINGJICHENGHANGKONGTIANQIYUBAOXITONG

泛亚电竞 JIEHEZHONGGUODEDIYUTEDIAN，YIQUYUKONGGUANZHONGXINWEIDANWEI，ZHUBUJIANLIQUANGUOJICHENGDEHANGKONGTIANQIYUBAOXITONGYINGGAISHIWEILAIYIGEZHIGUANZHONGYAODEFANYADIANJINGXIANGMU。GAIXITONGYIFANGMIANYAOBAOHANZHONGGUOGUANGDADIYUDEDILITEZHENG，LINGYIFANGMIANYAONENGGOUZAIBUTONGDEGUANZHIQUYUZHIJIANJINXINGSHISHIDESHUJUJIAOHUAN。SUOYIZAIGOUJIANXITONGDESHIHOU，YAOZUNZHAOGUOJILIUXINGDERUANJIANJISHUBIAOZHUN。JICHENGHANGKONGTIANQIYUBAOXITONGDEHEXINBUFENYINGBAOKUO: （1）QUYUHANGLUTIANQIFANYADIANJINGGONGNENG；（2）HANGZHANTIANQIFANYADIANJINGGONGNENG；YIJI（3）ZHICHIKONGGUANYUHANGKONGGONGSIYEWUYUNYINGDEXIETONGJUECEFANYADIANJINGGONGNENG。QIZHONGQIANLIANGZHEFANYADIANJINGZHILIANGDEHAOHUAIJIANGZHIJIEYINGXIANGDAOQIXIANGXINXIJINRUXIETONGJUECEXITONGDESHIJIXIAOGUO。

2．CHONGFENFAHUIYUBAOYUANZUOYONG

WEILAI，YUBAOYUANDEZUOYONGJIANGZHUYAOTIXIANZAIDUISHUZHITIANQIYUBAOMOSHICHANPINHEQITAKEGUANYUBAOCHANPINXINGNENGDELEJIEYIJIDUIGEZHONGZILIAOHEFANGFADEZONGHEFENXIYINGYONGHEDINGZHENGNENGLISHANG。ZAIYAOSUYUBAOFANGMIAN，SUIZHEJINGXIYUBAODEKAIZHAN，TIANQIYUBAOCHANPIN（BAOKUOZHIDAOCHANPIN）DALIANGZENGJIA，YUBAOYUANDEZHUYAOGONGZUOJIANGSHIDUIKEGUANYUBAOCHANPINJINXINGDINGZHENG，XIUGAIGEZHONGWULILIANGCHANG（LIRUJIANGSHUILIANGYUBAOCHANG）DEYUBAO，RANHOUYOURUANJIANNEICHADAOZHANDIAN（GEDIAN）SHANG。YUBAOYUANYINGGAIZAIDALIANGGAOZHILIANGHEZHIGUANDEYUBAOFUZHUGONGJUDEZHICHIXIAXINGCHENGJINGXIHUADEYUBAOSILU。YUBAOYUANDEGONGZUOZHONGDIANBIXUFANGZAIDUIFEIXINGANQUANYOUJIAODAWEIXIEDEWEIXIANTIANQIDEYUBAOYUJINGSHANG，YUBAOYUANJINGYANZAIDUIFUZATIANQIDEYUBAOHEZONGHEJUECEZHONGRENGJIANGQIZHONGYAOZUOYONG。WEILAIYUBAOYUANYINGZHUBUBAITUOXIANGDANGDALIANGDESHOUGONGZHIZUOTIANQITUDEGONGZUOHEQUEFADINGLIANGHUADEYUBAOSILU。BIAOZHUNDETIANQITUKEYOUQUYUZHONGXINJINXINGHUIZHIHOUTONGYITIGONGJIGUANQUNEIDEGEGEYUBAODANWEI。 YIBUFENYUANXIANCONGSHIYIXIANYUBAOGONGZUODERENYUANKEZHUBUZHUANRUHOUTAIYEWUZHICHINENGLIDEKAIFAYUYEWUHUA。

ZONGZHI，WEILEYOUXIAOJIANSHAOYINTIANQIYUANYINZAOCHENGDEDAMIANJIHANGBANYANWU，BUDUANMANZUCHIXUZENGZHANGDEZHONGGUOMINHANGHANGBANLIANGDEFANYADIANJINGXUQIU，MINHANGQIXIANGXITONGDEYEWUFANYADIANJINGYINGKAIZHANFENGONGHEZUOHEZIYUANZHENGHE，ZAIGUOJIACENGMIAN、QUYUZHONGXINCENGMIANHEZHONGDUANQUJICHANGCENGMIANFENBIESHEZHIBUTONGDEFANYADIANJINGZHONGDIAN，BINGQIEXITONGDI、YOUGUIHUADIJINXINGXIANGGUANDEFANYADIANJINGXIANGMU。ZAIDUANQINEI（RU3NIAN）KAIFACHUSHIYONGYUZHONGGUOMINHANGTEDIANDEQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGXITONG，ZHONGQINEI（RU5NIAN）TOURUYEWUHUAYUNXINGBINGDIAOYOU，ZHANGQINEI（RU10NIAN）JIANGHANGKONGQIXIANGFANYADIANJINGNENGLITISHENGDAOZIDONGHUACHENGDUJIAOGAO、YONGHUJIAOWEIMANYIDESHUIPING，CONGERGENGHAODIZHICHIKONGGUANYUHANGKONGGONGSIDEYEWUYUNYING。